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AI is nowhere near human-like existence, but 99 percent of human qualities and abilities are simply redundant for the performance of most modern jobs.
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However, a taxi driver or a cardiologist specializes in a much narrower niche than a hunter-gatherer, which makes it easier to replace them with AI.
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Such a robot would have to know how to prepare spear points from flint stones, find edible mushrooms in a forest, track down a mammoth, coordinate a charge with a dozen other hunters and use medicinal herbs to bandage any wounds. Ancient hunter-gatherers mastered a very wide variety of skills in order to survive, which is why it would be immensely difficult to design a robotic hunter-gatherer. In fact, as time goes by, it becomes easier and easier to replace humans with computer algorithms, not merely because the algorithms are getting smarter, but also because humans are professionalizing. A mere 10 years later, Google and Tesla can not only imagine this, but are actually making it happen.ĩ9 percent of human qualities and abilities are simply redundant for the performance of most modern jobs. Truck driving was given as an example of a job that could not possibly be automated in the foreseeable future. In 2004, professor Frank Levy from MIT and professor Richard Murnane from Harvard published research on the job market, listing those professions most likely to undergo automation. Today, facial-recognition programs are able to identify people far more efficiently and quickly than humans can. Until a short time ago, facial recognition was a favorite example of something that babies accomplish easily but which escaped even the most powerful computers. But it turns out that “for ever” often means no more than a decade or two. True, at present there are numerous things that organic algorithms do better than non-organic ones, and experts have repeatedly declared that some things will “for ever” remain beyond the reach of non-organic algorithms. As long as the calculations remain valid, what does it matter whether the algorithms are manifested in carbon or silicon? Hence, there is no reason to think that organic algorithms can do things that non-organic algorithms will never be able to replicate or surpass.
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Whether an abacus is made of wood, iron or plastic, two beads plus two beads equals four beads.ģ. Algorithmic calculations are not affected by the materials from which the calculator is built. Every animal - including Homo sapiens - is an assemblage of organic algorithms shaped by natural selection over millions of years of evolution.Ģ. The current scientific answer to this pipe dream can be summarized in three simple principles:ġ. The idea that humans will always have a unique ability beyond the reach of non-conscious algorithms is just wishful thinking.
Yet this is not a law of nature, and nothing guarantees it will continue to be like that in the future. This never happened, because as old professions became obsolete, new professions evolved, and there was always something humans could do better than machines. People have long feared that mechanization might cause mass unemployment. The most important question in 21st-century economics may well be: What should we do with all the superfluous people, once we have highly intelligent non-conscious algorithms that can do almost everything better than humans? This is Homo Deus.Doug Chayka Historian Yuval Noah Harari offers a bracing prediction: just as mass industrialization created the working class, the AI revolution will create a new unworking class. It asks the fundamental questions: Where do we go from here? And how will we protect this fragile world from our own destructive powers? This is the next stage of evolution. Homo Deus explores the projects, dreams and nightmares that will shape the twenty-first century – from overcoming death to creating artificial life. In Homo Deus, he examines our future with his trademark blend of science, history, philosophy and every discipline in between.
Yuval Noah Harari, author of the bestselling Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind, envisions a not-too-distant world in which we face a new set of challenges. International Bestseller From the author of the international bestseller Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind comes an extraordinary new book that explores the future of the human species.